Tim’s FanDuel Lineup!!!

Wasn’t exactly a great week last week, so here’s trying to fix that…

Robert Griffin III – 8400
I think RG3 finally got his groove back, and the Eagles D certainly isn’t able to stop anyone anyways. In a game that has to be a shootout, I imagine RG3 has a great stat line.

Ben Tate – 5700
Yea, I know they’ve been passing all over the place now, but teams finally have some tape on Case Keenum, and I think the Texans give Tate plenty of play here. I actually think he has a very Foster-like day.

Chris Ivory – 6400
The Bills D is bad against the run. Combine that with the Jets just getting as much out of Chris Ivory as possible recently, and I think that adds up to a good amount of yards and a TD or two.

Pierre Garcon – 7900
Going back to why I picked RG3, I also believe that Garcon gets the majority of the targets from Griffen.

Vincent Jackson – 7100
It’s been a couple down weeks for V Jax, but against a terrible Atl D, is what I believe is higher scoring than you’d think, I believe they start going back to Jackson.

Marvin Jones – 5600
The Haden effect will be in play here, and Marvin Jones, who’s been on the verge of great games the last couple weeks after 3 great games, will be the benefactor.

Rob Gronkowski – 8200
I actually think this game ends up a shootout, and I believe Gronk is one of, if not the best red zone threat in the league. I actually expect 2 TDs here.

Steven Hauschka – 5700
Just so happened to have 700 left after I picked everything, so why not take a potential 20 points out of my kicker.

Texans – 5000
No Pryor and a Texans D that’s starting to look like a solid unit again? Yea, I’ll take that. Plus, they’re cheap, can rush the passer, and should create some turnovers.

 

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Tim’s Week 11 Pick’em!!!

Hey All,

 
So this is the week my bitterness finally catches up with me, as I have lost faith in several players I had assumed would break out of their collective funk eventually.  They will, of course, blow up this week, but here’s my analysis…
 
(Note – Nick wanted me to mention he’s picking the Titans this week, most likely because he hates Andrew Luck’s face)
 
Colts – Titans
Colts – The Colts have been bad the last few weeks.  Real bad.  Luckily, the Titans just lost to the Jags, so you don’t really get much lower than that.  I imagine this is the week Luck breaks out of his funk, and Ryan Fitzpatrick will probably end up being terrible.  I’m done thinking Trent Richardson will ever be decnt, apparently he maxes out at 3 YPC.  I actually do like Donald Brown, but I think they’re both usless without the other getting hurt.
 
Jets – Bills
Bills – For some reason, I think after a game under his feet being back from injury, EJ Manual will have a much better game here.  I’ve been a fan of his when healthy, and I think the RB weapons he’s got means the Jets will have to load up against the run and Manuel will end up having a pretty nice game here.  I think Chris Ivory will get a lot of run here, but in the end, I think Geno makes too many mistakes.
 
Ravens – Bears
Ravens – Ray Rice is garbage now.  I don’t know when it happened, but somehow he seems to have lost all the ability he once had.  That said, it’s the Bears D.  They have been terrible against the run, and it looks like anyone would be able to run through the holes being opened up.  Somethings gotta give.  Josh Mccown has actually been good while Cutler is out too.  Unfortunately, I don’t think he keeps it up another game. Marshall will be good, Forte will probably be good, and I actually think Rice has a decent game here.  In a game between my 2 favorite teams, I think the Ravens come out on top in a close game, with a few key turnovers being the difference.
 
Browns – Bengals
Bengals – The Browns are actually better than everyone thinks, but I just don’t think they have the firepower to get past the admittedly depleted Bengals D.  Bengals lost a tough game to the Ravens last week, and they’ll come out hungry.  The Bengals offense just has so many weapons that, when Dalton is on, which I think he will be, they’re incredibly hard to stop.  The Browns have literally only Jordan Cameron and Josh Gordon, who I think will both have good games, but I don’t think they’ll be able to get consistent offense going.
 
Lions – Steelers
Lions – Megatron is just a monster…he’s just so damn impressive.  I hate Stafford, but honestly, from a fantasy perspective, he should have another great game.  The Steelers D isn’t the old Steelers D, and Calvin Johnson should have a field day.  I don’t actually think Reggie Bush has a great game either.  From the Steelers end, I think Antonio Brown continues to be pretty damn good, and Leveon Bell scores another TD with around 60 yards.  While I’m not really a fan of his either, I actually think Emmanual Sanders have a long TD here as well.
 
Raiders – Texans
Texans – I love Case Keenum.  I may have mentioned it last week too, but especially now after he had a pretty good game against a really good Cardinals D, I think he’s for real.  He’s got to distribute to more than just Andre Johnson, but I think with all the attention to Johnson the Raiders will give, Deandre Hopkins has a good game here.  This however, is where I actually think Ben Tate breaks out and has a very Arian Foster-like game.  I still like Pryor, but the injury that is apparently now keeping him out of practice kills a lot of his running ability (and therefore, his fantasy value).  I think the Texans finally win their first game with Keenum, and win handily.
 
Cardinals – Jaguars
Cardinals – I can’t just put “It’s the Jags” anymore, since they officially got their first win, but make no mistake, that team is still hot garbage.  The Cardinals D is legit, and while I don’t have a ton of faith in Carson Palmer to not throw 2 picks in a game, I think the *gasp* Cardinals run game blows through the Jags awful D.  When I say run game, I think we all know I mean Ellington though, who should have a monster game, and definitely not Mendenhall, who may actually get a TD here.  Honestly though, do you really want 10 yards and a TD on 15 carries?
 
Redskins – Eagles
Redskins – So Nick Foles has a funny way of falling apart after a few starts in a row.  He’s looked real good in the last couple games, and he may turn it around, but history would dictate he’s about to fall apart.  Now the Redskins D is just awful, so I don’t think whatever implosion he has is too bad, but I don’t think he’s going to have nearly the type of game we’ve seen the last couple weeks.  I think RG3 is back to looking like himself, and while I think the tape on him may be there with regards to how to stop him, I don’t think the Eagles D will be able to execute.  I think Morris has a monster game here, and the Redskins win in what ends up being a shootout. 
 
Falcons – Buccaneers
Falcons – The Falcons have looked real bad recently.  That tends to happen when teams are eliminated from the playoffs, but this team is still better than it’s played.  I wouldn’t be surprised by a Bucs victory here, as I’ve been relatively impressed with Mike Glennon, but I think the loss of another RB will just make it that much more difficult for the Bucs to get their second win.  I think this is the last game of Roddy White being ineffective as well, as I wouldn’t start him against Revis, but starting next week, I think he’s going to start putting up some monster stat lines.
 
Chargers – Dolphins
Chargers – So the Dolphin’s implosion last week actually only seemed to last a single half, which was enough to get them a loss.  That said, their run game obviously suffered from the new linemen, and I don’t think that changes this game.  The Chargers have a pretty good offense, and I like Gates here, but I think they get to running and dink and dunk plays to keep the play clock moving once they get up a little bit.  I think this ends up being the shortest game of the week, and while the Dolphins sputter around and try to run, the Chargers score a few and just play keep away.
 
Packers – Giants
Giants – The Packers QB woes continue.  I never like to bet against a new QB that hasn’t been seen before, but I’m breaking that habit this week, as I think the Giants D has a monster game this week.  I think Eli has a decent game here, but I think Andre Brown runs all over them.  I don’t know which Packers receiver catches passes this week, and honestly, wouldn’t trust any of them yet.  I think Eddie Lacy gets bottled up this week, and the Giants win big.
 
Vikings – Seahawks
Seahawks – I know everyone seems to be penciling AP in for an incredible game here, but honestly, I’m just not buying it.  Ponder looked decent last week, so of course now he’s injured for this game, and no one should be afraid of Matt Cassel or Josh Freeman.  That means the Seahawks D (the best D in the league) loads up to stop Peterson, and allows Cassel or Freeman to pass, which will lead to picks.  I think Lynch has a couple TDs here and the Seahawks win handily.
 
49ers – Saints
Saints – Drew Brees is just ridiculous.  In a game where they ran the ball all over the Cowboys, he still managed an incredible performance.  I know the 49ers D is legit, but some QBs can’t be stopped and Brees is one of them.  I think he has a good game (good for him, so only, like, 400 yards and 3 TDs) here.  The 49ers offense is predicated on the run, so while I do think they run effectively, I think once they’re down 2 TDs or so, they have to pass, which has been a weakness recently.  Vernon Davis’s health is a question, and while the passing game would get a step up here if he plays, I still don’t think they’ll have enough to keep up with the Saints.
 
Chiefs – Broncos
Chiefs – This is going to be a game.  I don’t know who had the foresight before the season began to put this as a Sunday night game, but bravo.  While I don’t think Peyton’s ankle injury really effects him that much here, I don’t actually expect him to have a great game here.  I just have a feeling the Chiefs come out of the bye week hungry, and do what they do best, which is pressure the QB.  Charles is the best RB in the league right now, and while the Broncos have been good against the run, I think he gashes them for a few big plays here.  I think Bowe plays through his recent legal woes and actually has a pretty awesome game this week as well.  In what ends up being a close one, I think the Chiefs pull it out.
 
Patriots – Panthers
Patriots – Hey!! Monday Night Football finally has a decent matchup!  The Patriots D’s strength has always been to take away an offense’s best player, and while it works in almost all instances, I just don’t know how you do that to Cam Newton.  That said, I think Brady is back, and especially out of the bye week, I think he comes out slinging.  I expect Gronk to have a ridiculous game, and while I do think Cam manages to put up some points (I just have a feeling Olsen gets a TD or 2 here for some reason), I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up with the Patriots.  Patriots win in a close game.

Final Update to the Pick’ems

Ok, just had to get those in before the games started, here’s my slightly more in depth break down of the games Sunday afternoon and Monday.

Panthers – 49ers

Panthers – The 49ers have been a great power running team recently, but the Panthers D is no joke.  I don’t really think much of the Panthers offense, but I expect, in a low scoring game, the Panthers D to step up.  This could be a good game for Steve Smith or Greg Olsen, but I just don’t see the 49ers being able to do much.

Broncos – Chargers

Broncos – Broncos coming out of a bye, after losing?  Yea, I’ll take Peyton here.  I can never trust which of those receivers get the love normally, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they all get in the action here.  I think the Broncos do everything they can to shut down Keenen Allen, but that leaves Gates open for a good game.  I do think Woodhead gets a lot of work here in the passing game as well.  This ends up being a little bit of a shootout, but Broncos still win convincingly.

Texans – Cardinals

Texans – I love what Case Keenum did last week.  Just so impressive.  I think it had a ripple effect on the defense as well, as they see a player who will help them score points, and now are playing with purpose.  Things went off the handle a little bit when Kubiak went down, but I think the shock of that was only from that last half against the Colts and the Texans pick it back up here all game.  With Foster being out for the rest of the year, I see Tate picking up right where he left off.  I also see, surprise surprise, a Palmer pick 6 happening here.

Cowboys – Saints

Saints – This will be a shootout.  Brees is the king of shootouts, and should obviously have a good game.  I think the Cowboys try to get Murray going again, but have a hard time doing it, since I do believe the Saints know that’s the weakness on D and try to avoid ith.  I keep thinking Colston will have a good game, and if he can’t here (if active), I’m done with him.  In the end, Brees puts up a lot of points, and Romo just can’t keep it up.

Dolphins – Buccaneers

Buccaneers – This could go one of 2 ways.  The Dolphins could solidify themselves around the controversy and play an amazing game, or they could fall apart after having to answer these questions for the last week and losing starting linemen.  I think the latter.  I expect Hartline to actually have a really good game here, as Wallace will be on Revis Island.  I actually have liked what the Bucs have done recently, despite not getting any wins, as I think Glennon has played spectacularly for the situation he’s been thrown into.  V Jax will have a monster game here and the Bucs win handily.

Update to the Pick’ems

Alright, going to try to get the breakdowns here:

 

Bills – Steelers

Steelers – I think Spiller has a good game here.  Think he’s finally healthy, and showed what he can do when he is so.  That said, I think Manuel shows a bit of rust here and the Steelers run Bell all game long.

Bengals – Ravens

Ravens – Just way too many injuries to the Bengals, along with Dalton’s inconsistency should give the Ravens a chance to get back in the division race.

Lions – Bears

Lions – Hate to pick this one, but I think they’re rushing Cutler back too early.  I could be wrong, but a QB needs all his fundamentals to be accurate, and if there’s anything you worried about Cutler before his injury, it’s his fundamentals.  Think the injury causes a few balls to sail, and the Bears D won’t be able to stop Bush.

Eagles – Packers

Eagles – I realize Seneca Wallace can’t be that bad, but he can’t be that good either.  I don’t think the Eagles explode like last time, and I do think Lacy has a good game here, I just don’t see a Rodgers-less Packers team beating the Eagles.

Rams – Colts

Colts – I still hate Clemens, and while I think/hope he has a long TD to Chris Givens for the sake of my FanDuel lineup, Luck and the Colts should still have a good game here.  I actually think Trent Richardson has his first good game a Colt here, just call it a hunch.

Jaguars – Titans

Titans – It’s the Jags…

Raiders – Giants

Raiders – I think the Giants are definitely improving, but I like Pryor here. 

Seahawks – Falcons

Seahawks – I know a lot of people are thinking upset here, and while the Seahawks D hasn’t looked like the Seahawks D, I think they step it up for this game. 

 

Tim’s Pick’em

Hey Guys,

 

I’ve got to get these in quick, so I won’t give my analysis here, but I’ll break down the games after:

Bills – Steelers

Steelers

Bengals – Ravens

Ravens

Lions – Bears

Lions

Eagles – Packers

Eagles

Rams – Colts

Colts

Jaguars – Titans

Titans

Raiders – Giants

Raiders

Seahawks – Falcons

Seahawks

Panthers – 49ers

Panthers

Broncos – Chargers

Broncos

Texans – Cardinals

Texans

Cowboys – Saints

Saints

Dolphins – Buccaneers

Buccaneers

Tim’s FanDuel Post

Hey All!

Here’s the post I assume you all came for, as I beat Nick once again last week…boom.  I had a good week, with 135, but not spectacular, as I didn’t predict Nick Foles or Riley Cooper would have the games they did, and apparently some people drunkenly picked them.  Only explanation…anyways, I think I’m going to switch up my style a little bit.  I’m going to pick up a few WRs this wek that are outside the box a little bit, in hopes they blow up and no one has them.  High risk, but you know what they say, go big or go home.

Terrelle Pryor  – 7500

I’ve been banging on this drum for a while now, but I love Pryor.  He hasn’t had a breakout game yet, which is what I’m banking on, but he does constantly put up numbers and for a QB that cheap, with huge upside, I’m game.  The Giants should  keep the game close up be up is my guess, so he won’t get relegated to hand off duties.

Reggie Bush – 8500
This probably isn’t a surprise after everyone watched Eddie Lacy run all over the Bears, but the Bears run D is just horrid. Bush tore them apart last game, and with Briggs still out, I can’t imagine it gets any better this time.

CJ Spiller – 7400
He’s been injured, but he finally showed a sign of life last week. This week, against a Steelers D that isn’t what it once was, I think he finally shows why everyone thought so highly of him before the year began.

Dez Bryant – 8200
He hasn’t quite blown up like I’d hope, but this game should be a little bit of a shootout, so I’m hoping Dez gets in on it instead of Witten or Terrance Williams. His value is down, so now’s as good a time as any to try to take advantage.

Chris Givens – 4500
Minimum price WR that gives you plenty of upside. Unlike with Sam Bradford, Kellen Clemens seems to think Givens is his no. 1 receiver. Now I’m still no fan of Clemens, but a no. 1 WR with breakaway speed on a team I imagine will be down has a chance to blow up for a long TD.

Golden Tate – 4500
Wow, Tate has dropped quickly. It was just last week everyone was saying how he’d have to step up with Sidney Rice out, but one bad game against Darrelle Revis and now he’s a minimum player? I think Tate is a great play, and should get plenty of opportunties, as I think the Falcons have a much better game than we’ve seen in the last few weeks and keep it close.

Jimmy Graham – 8700
Just so good. You can’t say enough about Graham this year, and against the Cowboys, who should put up plenty of points, I think he keeps it up here.

Matt Prater – 5400
I think this game is a shootout, and K on a great offense should be in range plenty. I also had an extra 400 above minimum to spend, so why not.

Houston Texans – 5300
I think the Texans D was energized by Case Keenum (who I love btw, I was just so impressed with him last week). Cardinals are bad, and while I like Andre Ellington, Carson Palmer is going to turn it over plenty. I think Keenum puts the Texans up big and Palmer is forced to throw.

Tim’s FanDuel Lineup!

This is going to be where I strive to make up for just a god awful week of fantasy football…Here’s my FanDuel lineup for this week.  I had a good feeling about a few guys, so I threw a few extra plays I thought were good values as well.

 

Pyror – 7300
Still love Pryor, especially against this Eagles D that can’t stop anyone.  He’s so cheap and he puts up points consistently.  My only concern with him is that they focus on running with McFadden, but honestly, I would be surprised if it goes that way, and I think this is a game where Pryor ends up with a deep TD to Moore at some point.
 
Charles – 9200
Through this portion of the season, he’s the clear-cut no. 1 RB.  Against the Bills, I can only imagine that continues.  They’re awful against the run…and well, in general.  Thad Lewis will turn it over plenty, and the Chiefs will dink, dunk and run all day to make this game as short as possible.
 
Eddie Lacy – 6800
While I don’t foresee another 28 carry performance, in fact, I see them giving Lacy significantly fewer carries (around 17-20) in order to keep him fresh, I still see him being effective with those.  The Bears have been bad against the run recently, and I love a lead back on a team that will move the ball.  I wouldn’t be surprised by a couple TDs here.
 
Bernard – 5600
I think the Bengals know they’ve been leaning on the pass a little too hard, and they’ll want to get the run game going.  The Dolphins give it up to the run, and Bernard is awesome.  At 5600, that gives me a lot of versatility and is, in my opinion, a steal.
 
Dez Bryant – 9100
So normally I wouldn’t pick Dez in a situation like this, since I have a feeling the Cowboys will be up big early and just want to run out the clock, I’m always a huge fan of picking star WRs who complain about not getting the ball.  Combine this with what Nelson did last week to the Vikings, and then the fact that I doubt they’ll want to overwork Murray, and I still think Dez has a great day.
 
Keenen Allen – $6000 
Keenen Allen is a no. 1 receiver on a good team playing a bad defense.  Nuff said. 
 
Moore – 4900
Basically the exact same reasons I like Pyror here.  The Eagles D is garbage, and Pryor trusts Moore with big plays.  I expect them to break one this week after being relatively quite recently.
 
Rob Gronkowski – 7400
I think Brady finally goes off, and Gronk gets the vast majority.  Wouldn’t be surprised with a 2 TD game.
 
Novak – 5000
Minimum cost kicker on a good offense against a bad defense.
 
Titan – 5200
I think the Titans shut down the Rams this week.