Week 8 : Nick’s Fanduel Lineup

Hey everyone! Every week we will be posting our primary Fanduel lineups prior to Thursday’s game.  For any of you that do not know what Fanduel is, it is a site for 1-week salary cap based fantasy leagues. I highly recommend checking it out for any fantasy football enthusiasts (www.fanduel.com).  If you don’t care at all about Fanduel, these posts should still have some valuable information about the players we like the most this week. This should go without saying, but I do feel I need to state the obvious. Do not go betting your life savings on one of these lineups and then curse our names when it doesn’t score 200 pts. Remember that in the end, its always your call. Alright, here goes…

The best way to go through my lineup is to go through my process and show it in the same order that I built it. I’ll start with my must-haves and build around them accordingly.

WR1: Eric Decker ($6500) WAS@DEN
The more I looked at this, the more I realized just how criminally under-priced Decker currently is. He is currently the same price as Harry Douglas, Mike Wallace, and Roddy White despite coming off of a season high 25 pt game and an ideal match up. Both WAS and DEN have horrible defenses with great offenses. This should be a high scoring game, but its even better than that for Decker. DeAngelo Hall has been playing pretty well the last few weeks, holding Dez Bryant to a 5/36/0 line and Brandon Marshall to a 6/75/0 line. For covering these elite WRs, these are great numbers. Expect him to shadow Demarius Thomas the whole game, leaving Decker to the remaining secondary that has let WR2s shine all season. Combine this with the WAS safety being suspended and an angry peyton manning and decker actually has a chance of topping the previous week. All that for a mere $6500.

WR2: Jordy Nelson ($7800) GB@MIN
Yup, another WR that I think we are getting great value out of. Nelson has been awesome the whole season, even managing to put up a 5/42/1 line last week against one of the top 3 corners in the league in Joe Haden. I imagine that was a game where Rodgers would have liked to rely on his only experienced WR, but couldn’t because of Haden. I see Rodgers making up for it this week against a secondary that is 9th in pts allowed to WRs. Oh and its a Sunday night game, and Rodgers has an ego that pushes him into overdrive when the spotlight is on him. Can easily see him feeding Jordy all game.

TE: Jordan Reed ($5400) WAS@DEN
If you read my previous article on WW pickups, this shouldnt come as a surprise. Massive value here in a great matchup for a talented TE on a strong offense. I imagine WAS going into catchup mode early in this game and Reed acting as RG3’s favorite target. And yes, Gronk is a tempting option here, but I ended up going for the value pick.

RB1: Marshawn Lynch ($8600) SEA@STL
I’ll always prefer to be stacked at RB, and I have conserved enough so far that I can splurge a bit here. Lynch is the 4th priced RB this week, though I think I might actually have him as my favorite overall regardless of price. STL is garbage against the run (4th) and SEA has no problems running up the score against a divisional opponent. In addition to the amazing matchup, SEA re-signed their former pro-bowl lead blocking fullback Michael Robinson. Robinson was cut at the beginning of the season due to salary and an illness, but is now back in full force. Lynch is a fan, and you should be too. This is also a good time to point out one of my favorite all time screen caps from a football game. Below you will find Lynch’s reaction towards his sideline after coming out of the huddle in a goal line situation where the play-call was play-action pass.

Lynch

QB: Robert Griffin III ($8800) WAS@DEN
3rd player from this game now, so going to keep it short. Old RG3 is back, and Den is #1 in pts allowed for QBs. Yes, I would like to have Peyton on my team (like I would every week), but this is a much more economical option.

RB2: Darren Sproles ($6600) BUF@NO
Tim wrote the following in his PickEm article last week “Love teams (or at least decent and good teams) coming out of their bye.” Absolutely agree with this, but need to stress the good part. MIA turned out to not fit that criteria, but NO does. Sean Peyton is one of the top coaches in the NFL and he just went into the bye week after his team’s first loss of the season. Thinking he didn’t spend that much time at the beach. NO lost mainly because their biggest weapon, Jimmy Graham was completely shut down. He also suffered an injury that left his status as questionable for the last two weeks. I imagine Peyton has spent the last two weeks game-planning for an alternative option. I think this will include heavy use of their second most talented player in Darren Sproles. Id consider investing in a NO receiver, but this is a safer pick.

D: Kansas City Chiefs ($5900) CLE@KC
This is where I will personally start to vary up my lineups. I was 100% on board with the KC D before the recent announcement of Jason Campbell starting over Wheeden. Campbell is just as much of a hack, but he is a conservative hack. Where Wheeden will stand in the pocket way too long as he waits for someone to get open, Campbell will just check down every pass. I still like KC to possibly shut out CLE completely, but I don’t expect the massive sacks / turnovers that I would with Wheeden. Still, it felt like the best option given my remaining funds.

WR3: Denarius Moore ($5400) PIT@OAK
Purely a value pick. Moore has been averaging 12.7 FPPG this season, yet he is only $5400. Felt he was the best option all the way up to $6000 where Terrance Williams was available, which explains why I still went with KC as my D.

K: Alex Henery ($5000) NYG@PHI
Henery put up 20 pts when PHI last faced NYG. Hope he does it again?

Final lineup
QB: Robert Griffin III ($8800)
RB1: Marshawn Lynch ($8600)
RB2: Darren Sproles ($6600)
WR1: Jordy Nelson ($7800)
WR2: Eric Decker ($6500)
WR3: Denarius Moore ($5400)
TE: Jordan Reed ($5400)
K: Alex Henery ($5000)
D: Kansas City Chiefs ($5900)

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6 thoughts on “Week 8 : Nick’s Fanduel Lineup

  1. Hey guys – im jetznut674 from fbg and same on FD. Each week i enter some Thurs H2H and 50/50’s with the pro’s to see who they are targeting… have a look

    mbomb44 H2H Lineup 1 $2

    Brees
    Lacy
    Sproles
    Decker
    Cruz
    Colston
    Gonzalez
    Dawson
    KC

    mbomb44 H2H $2 lineup 2
    RG3
    Lacy
    Moreno
    Decker
    Nelson
    A Brown
    Gonzalez
    Bailey
    Saints

    mbomb H2H $10 lineup 3
    P Manning
    Lacey
    James
    Decker
    Nelson
    A Brown
    Gonzalez
    Bailey
    KC

    condia $5 H2H lineup
    RG3
    Moreno
    Lacy
    Decker
    Cruz
    Colston
    Gonz
    Bailey
    Seattle

    the_coz 50/50
    RG3
    Lacy
    Gore
    Garcon
    Welker
    Decker
    Reed
    Bailey
    Cincy

    pepsi7 50/50
    RG3
    Lacy
    Gore
    D Jackson
    Decker
    Garcon
    Reed
    Henery
    KC

  2. Hey Stacy and Bird! Thanks for stopping by. Tim and I are still playing around with the blog, but its a nice work-in-progress and its something both of us have wanted to do for awhile. We sat down today and figured out a bunch of new ideas for the blog that we cant wait to get posted, so make sure to keep tuned.

    @Stacy: I think so much of this depends on the type of fanduel game you are participating in. For tournaments, riding a single game with shared RBs/WRs on a single team can be a losing proposition. However, you are doing it with Denver this week, which is just about the biggest exception to the rule. As a 50/50 lineup, that looks really solid. Oh and I agree completely with you on Gonzo. If he didnt burn me last week and I didnt love Reed this week, I would be running with him in every lineup.

    @Bird: Haha, as a Bears homer, I will reluctantly be doing the same thing in betting against my team’s D every week. Think Ive got it worse then you in that department (seriously… play anything and everything against the bears for at least the next few weeks). Im a huge fan of rolling with a QB/WR or QB/TE combination in every lineup, and your Palmer/Fitz combo seems like a pretty nice value one, though seems a bit risky. Fitz has been hurting, and Palmer has been a lock for turnovers. On the plus side, their last three games have been against CAR, SF, and SEA. After those defenses, ATL will look like a vacation.

  3. First off, love the blog. I LOVE reading as many different perspectives as I can. I may not always agree with them all, but I still love to hear them.

    While I’m not as high on RGIII as others have been (it’s all I heard on yesterdays Football guys podcast) I love some of the other picks. Lynch should have an amazing game, Reed is great for his low salary, Nelson should continue to get a ton of targets, even more with them game planning around Finley not being there. Moore has some monster games at time and is a great risk/reward type of player.

    A few guys not mentioned that I like are:

    QB: Carson Palmer: Being a Falcons fan myself, I am a bit biased, but AGAINST my team. They make average QB’s look like a hall of famer on a regular basis. Just ask Geno Smith! Seriously, the Falcons love to play a soft zone defense, rushing only 4 and giving QB’s plenty of time to pick them apart. For his price, he’s definitely going in some of my lineups.

    RB: Frank Gore: A poor man’s Lynch this week in my opinion. Gore should see plenty of carries as San Fran tears apart the Jags.

    WR: Larry Fitzgerald: See Carson Palmer. I see Fitz putting up a big game against Trufant or whoever we throw out there at him. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him break a long one and at $7100, he’s not overly priced.

    WR: Pierre Garcon: Washington will HAVE to throw the ball in order to keep up with a ticked off Manning and company. Garcon at 6700 should definitely be a top 5 receiver this week.

    TE: Gronk. I am doing whatever I can to get him into my lineup this week, even if it’s going for cheaper WR’s. He’s just that good and Brady relies on him.

    Thanks! Hope everyone wins some cash this week! I’m hoping to double up for the 5th time in 6 weeks! 🙂

    Dirtybird

  4. This is Msudaisy from the Shark Pool, I like your lineup. Here are guys I like you haven’t mentioned.

    Tony Gonzalez – I believe Arizona is 2nd in the league in fantasy points allowed to the tight end and Vernon Davis just torched them for 180 2 touchdowns.

    Eddie Lacy – The Packers have said they were going to run the ball more and they did with Lacy last week, and he caught 5 passes too. Now Finely is out and I am not sure if James Jones is going to suit up. I am riding this guy until he puts up a horrible game or his price goes over 8k.

    Knowshon Moreno – How does his price tag stay under 8k. I love him in fan duel because even if he has crappy rushing stats he always seems like he is catching 5 passes and has a great chance of scoring a touchdown on the best offense in the league. I forgot to mention the fact that Redskins are getting killed on the ground this year.

    Leveon Bell – His matchup is a good and the Steelers are actually playing well since he and Heath Miller returned, plus he will catch a few passes.

    Terrance Williams – Rumors are flying around that Austin might be shut down for a couple weeks because of his injuries, so Williams will be the number 2 receiver going against Detroit this week in what should be a high scoring game.

    Lastly I like to try to stack a game every week, problem is I usually pick the wrong game. Denver vs Washington is the obvious choice but hard to do. Here are some other good games to try to stack. Dallas vs Detroit, Philly vs Eagles, I actually stacked this last time they played and I cashed in a tourney with around 145 points.

    Here is my best stack

    RG3
    Moreno
    Lacy
    Decker
    Garcon
    Welker
    Reed
    Forbath
    Saints D

  5. Hey Andrew!

    Completely agree with the players that you mentioned. Your variations were all people I strongly considered and will probably be included in some of my other lineups. Gore’s matchup is very similar to Lynch’s and Lacy is a stud going forward. I also love Helu as I see them going into a hurry up the whole game. I liked Boykin and Brown, but couldn’t find a way to fit them in as I was highest on Nelson and Decker this week. Kicker, im mostly just throwing darts but that is how its always been for kickers and me in fantasy. The more time I spend thinking about a kicker, the worse they do.

    I still haven’t found my ideal mix of game-types yet. Two weeks ago, I placed 3/100 in two tournaments and ended up about +545% for the week. Last week, I went tournament heavy and finished down (about 50%) for the week. Moving forward, I will be keeping a detailed record of what I do on this site, so it will definitely help as a bit of self-analysis.

  6. Very very similar to the lineups I am running, except RB2, WR1, and kicker. For RB2 I am going with a mix of Gore, Helu and Lacy. For WR1, I do have a few with Nelson, but usually opting for cheaper choices like Boykin, Antonio Brown, etc. Regarding kickers, the 3 total points put up by Philly is to recent in my memory to feel comfortable with Henery, so I have a mix of Prater, Forbath?, Bailey and Akers.

    Overall, on the more conservative contests like 50/50’s I tend to put a greater percentage of my salary cap into QB and RB which historically tend to raise your floor, whereas in tournaments I put a greater percentage into WR’s to hopefully yield a higher ceiling.

    Additionally, I try to have a ‘pool’ of players I like for a week and mix and match to try and create slightly unique lineups for each entry, trying to limit my exposure to any one player at 20-33% of my contests.

    All in all, the majority of my winnings come from ‘grinding’ the 50/50’s and double ups on Thursday contests, with ideally a tiny percentage into tournaments.

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